
Legacies are big and slow – like a manatee!
Here are my notes from an excellent session presented recently by Doug Clow of Legacy Foresight on “How to track and forecast your legacy income” at the Fundraising Everywhere #LegacyFundraising virtual conference 2024. Sessions available to watch on the links above. You should be able to see the images more clearly by clicking on them. This is just a bit of flavour from one of many sessions – sign up as a Fundraising Everywhere member to see much more.
We need to track legacy income: for finance and resourcing, and for feedback so you can get better
How? My extended metaphor is the cantilever
Forecasting is a cantilever – extending out horizontally, but solid support from one end (methodology holding the weight of expectations we’re putting on the forecasting).
Basic principles: legacies are big and slow, like a manatee! 29% of voluntary income for charities – really significant source of income, average 6.5 years between last will made and death, so a long time lag between persuading to give to you and them dying and then a significant delay before we see the income
High value bequests skew everything! 59% of income from 9% of bequests
Need to understand the difference between cash income and recognised income (can’t spend expected money until you’ve got it!)
Most of this year’s income will be from legacies you already know about
Think about means versus medians (ie think about how outliers skew things)